Smoke-run cost estimate for phase one (smoke2)

From 225 smoke calls (5 seed cases x 5 graders x 9 judges, one epoch). Routing: gpt-4o-mini, gpt-4.1 (OpenAI), Opus 5.5 (Anthropic) and Gemini 3.7 Flash (Google) direct; the rest via OpenRouter with require_parameters (gpt-oss-20b also ignores CoreWeave). OpenRouter judges use billed usage.cost; direct judges use Inspect total_cost from llm-prices. Projection: mean cost per call x 6,000 generic calls + mean x 1.5 x 2,400 repo-scorer calls.

judge cost per call (USD) mean output tokens mean reasoning tokens projected (USD)
claude-opus-5-5 0.00192 32 12 18.46
gpt-4.1 0.00056 24 0 5.42
glm-5.3 0.00054 76 48 5.18
gemini-3.7-flash 0.00043 76 54 4.10
gpt-5-mini 0.00032 137 93 3.05
gpt-3.5-turbo-0613 0.00024 27 0 2.29
gpt-4o-mini 0.00004 26 0 0.42
gpt-oss-20b 0.00002 94 72 0.23
llama-3.1-8b-instruct 0.00002 25 0 0.16

Total projected phase one: $39.31. Smoke2 cost $0.0928.

Seed cases are short; real SimpleQA answers will raise input tokens, so allow 2x.